Find the exemption that stopped holding
Read all five baseline entries and note for each what its exemption is actually conditional on — some are bounded by a time window, others by a named path, rule set or approved change. More than one carries a time condition, so the window alone will not single out an entry; the one you want is the entry that ties a scheduled window to a specific authenticating source. Then filter every alert carrying that entry's source address, sort by timestamp, and compare each one against the hours the entry actually allows. Note the first alert that falls outside them, to the second, and how much of that source's activity sits outside the window rather than inside it.